ORTEX Short Interest Insights from November

 

November was a choppy month, dipping in the first week of trading before staging a broad-based rebound to close higher. Many companies in the tech sector that enjoyed strong growth at the height of the pandemic have had to acknowledge that they hired too aggressively during that time, resulting in layoffs as growth has since slowed. Last month saw a slew of companies announce workforce reductions.

Here are ORTEX’s estimates for how aggregate short interest (SI) shares changed for each S&P 500 sector for the month of November.

Sector Starting SI Shares Ending SI Shares % Change
Energy 427,132,655 428,609,225 0.35%
Materials 202,916,356 201,227,263 (0.83%)
Industrials 452,655,832 478,413,976 5.69%
Consumer Discretionary 859,828,858 887,020,080 3.16%
Consumer Staples 339,081,684 327,547,255 (3.4%)
Health Care 455,901,202 442,844,893 (2.86%)
Financials 617,294,638 573,974,560 (7.02%)
Information Technology 854,171,759 872,955,954 2.2%
Communication Services 765,851,948 779,881,430 1.83%
Utilities 330,908,560 304,415,554 (8%)
Real Estate 300,582,470 288,870,158 (3.9%)

 

The market’s overall trajectory in November was reminiscent of October’s performance, with the initial dip leading to short-seller gains that were subsequently wiped out as the market climbed in the latter half of the month. Overall, bears accumulated aggregate losses of $24.2 billion.

Short covering has contributed to the market’s recovery in recent months. If we compare the average days to cover (DTC) for all S&P 500 constituents to the performance of SPY, the inverse correlation becomes clear.

Top Short Seller Gain and Loss for November

Chinese e-commerce titan Alibaba (NYSE: BABA) plunged to multi-year lows in late October after Chinese President Xi Jinping clinched an unprecedented third term, sparking fears that the government would continue hampering growth for large technology companies. The stock then rebounded throughout November, driven by better-than-expected third quarter results and a Global Shopping Festival. The stock’s recovery was painful for short-sellers, resulting in $1.66 billion in losses and making Alibaba the biggest loser for bears.

Elon Musk may loathe short-sellers with a passion, but he helped Tesla (Nasdaq: TSLA) bears reap $2.37 billion in profits during the month of November. That made the electric vehicle (EV) giant the top stock for short-seller profits last month. Not only has the chaos at Twitter undermined investor confidence in Tesla, but the financial ties within Musk’s empire became even clearer when the billionaire sold approximately $4 billion of Tesla stock in early November. Musk told remaining Twitter employees that the move was designed to “save Twitter,” raising tangible fears that continued deterioration of the social media platform’s business could lead to Musk unloading more Tesla shares. 

Short Squeeze Candidates with the Highest ORTEX Short Scores

In terms of the top short squeeze candidates as of right now, here are the 10 stocks that have the highest ORTEX Short Scores on our platform. Our ORTEX Short Score uses a multi-factor model that incorporates multiple short-related metrics, with a higher score indicating that the stock is heavily-shorted and has other characteristics that increase the possibility of a short squeeze occurring.

Ticker Stock Market cap USD Industry Short Score Estimated Short Interest % FF
FUV Arcimoto $419,770,562 Automobiles and Components 95.78 30.35
NKLA Nikola Corporation $1,125,299,946 Capital Goods 95.35 31.54
FSR Fisker Inc. $2,261,350,878 Automobiles and Components 94.38 29.77
EVGO EVgo $421,702,744 Retailing 94.24 30.42
BEEM Beam Global $189,190,831 Capital Goods 94.16 20.65
BYND Beyond Meat $823,550,683 Food, Beverage and Tobacco 94.04 40.82
CSSE Chicken Soup for the Soul Entertainment $131,680,817 Media and Entertainment 93.82 14.52
CRCT Cricut $1,722,384,027 Consumer Durables and Apparel 93.78 23.00
DNMR Danimer Scientific $279,832,737 Materials 93.33 20.58
SFT Shift Technologies $24,286,901 Retailing 92.74 17.92

 

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